Biesme vs Grand-Leez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
14º
3º
56
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARQ
1 - 0
BIE
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BIE
2 - 1
MEU
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 5
BIE
48%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BIE
6 - 1
SHA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
BIE
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grand-Leez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
10 - 2
AND
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USD
1 - 2
GRA
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
NIS
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |