Rungis vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
81.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rungis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RCF
2 - 0
PPR
62%
19%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 3
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
AUX
1 - 1
ASN
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ASN
2 - 2
AJA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
ASN
6%
15%
79%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |