Rugby Town vs Fleet Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BEA
0 - 0
RUG
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RUG
0 - 0
NOR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
RUG
2 - 4
STN
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ASH
1 - 0
RUG
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RUG
2 - 0
DAV
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fleet Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AYL
2 - 1
FLE
50%
22%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLE
1 - 3
DAV
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 1
FLE
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
FLE
71%
17%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FLE
3 - 3
AFH
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |