Ruffiac Malestroit vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
85.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
-4
12.1%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CLE
2 - 1
LOR
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 2
DUN
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
ROD
3 - 3
LOR
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 2
ANN
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |