Eerste Nationale round 26

Charleroi II vs Tienen analysis

Charleroi II Tienen
50 ELO 46
-7% Tilt -3%
3497º General ELO ranking 3790º
59º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Charleroi II
25.1%
Draw
23.5%
Tienen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
Charleroi II
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.5%
Win probability
Tienen
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Charleroi II
+8%
+62%
Tienen

Points and table prediction

Charleroi II
Their league position
Tienen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
44
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RAAL La Louviere
83
83
100%
Lokeren-Temse
70
70
100%
Knokke
54
54
100%
Charleroi II
53
53
100%
Heist
51
51
100%
Thes Sport
51
51
100%
Olympic Charleroi
50
50
100%
Gent II
49
49
100%
Hoogstraten
49
49
100%
KVC Winkel Sport
11º
46
46
10º
100%
Excelsior Virton
10º
46
46
11º
100%
Tienen
13º
44
44
12º
100%
Dessel Sport
12º
44
44
13º
100%
Antwerp II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Union Namur
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Leuven II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Visé
17º
28
29
17º
100%
Cappellen
18º
27
27
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Charleroi II
Tienen
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Charleroi II
Tienen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Charleroi II
Charleroi II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
SIN
KVC Winkel Sport
2 - 2
Charleroi II
RCS
39%
26%
35%
50 47 3 0
24 Feb. 2024
RCS
Charleroi II
3 - 0
Hoogstraten
HOO
35%
26%
40%
48 52 4 +2
18 Feb. 2024
NAM
Union Namur
2 - 2
Charleroi II
RCS
46%
24%
30%
48 48 0 0
10 Feb. 2024
RCS
Charleroi II
1 - 0
Lokeren-Temse
KSC
27%
28%
46%
47 61 14 +1
03 Feb. 2024
DES
Dessel Sport
1 - 0
Charleroi II
RCS
35%
24%
41%
48 41 7 -1

Matches

Tienen
Tienen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2024
TIE
Tienen
1 - 0
Union Namur
NAM
33%
24%
43%
45 46 1 0
25 Feb. 2024
KNO
Knokke
1 - 0
Tienen
TIE
64%
21%
16%
45 51 6 0
18 Feb. 2024
TIE
Tienen
0 - 1
Antwerp II
RAF
49%
24%
27%
46 44 2 -1
11 Feb. 2024
TIE
Tienen
4 - 0
Thes Sport
KVT
42%
26%
33%
44 45 1 +2
04 Feb. 2024
OHL
Leuven II
0 - 2
Tienen
TIE
57%
22%
21%
43 46 3 +1