FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Rotherham United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1993 |
NOR
0 - 1
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1992 |
ROT
1 - 0
HUL
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1992 |
ROT
4 - 0
WAL
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
EVE
3 - 0
ROT
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
ROT
1 - 0
EVE
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
NEW
3 - 0
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
BRI
1 - 2
NEW
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1993 |
NEW
4 - 0
POR
77%
15%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1992 |
OXF
4 - 2
NEW
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |