Rot-Weiss Essen vs Westfalia Herne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
ROT
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
GEW
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
ROT
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROT
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Westfalia Herne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
WHE
4 - 1
AAA
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
WHE
0 - 0
SPE
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 1
WHE
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
WHE
1 - 3
SPO
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GEW
3 - 2
WHE
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |