Rot-Weiss Essen vs Wacker 04 Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ROT
3 - 0
AAA
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 1
DSC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
USO
3 - 1
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VIK
3 - 2
ROT
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ROT
4 - 1
STP
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wacker 04 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
DSC
4 - 2
WAB
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
WAB
1 - 0
WUP
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
HOL
3 - 0
WAB
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
WAB
0 - 2
AHA
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
LEV
3 - 1
WAB
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |