Rot-Weiss Essen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 0
ROT
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
KSC
4 - 1
ROT
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
ROT
4 - 4
EIN
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
WAC
3 - 2
ROT
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
SAA
3 - 0
ROT
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
3 - 1
SAA
69%
19%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SGD
2 - 1
SAA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SAA
2 - 0
KOL
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 1
SAA
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |