Rot-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1973 |
KOL
3 - 2
ROT
78%
13%
8%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1973 |
ROT
6 - 3
EIN
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
HAN
1 - 2
ROT
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
ROT
3 - 1
BRE
47%
24%
30%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
S04
3 - 1
ROT
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1973 |
MSV
1 - 3
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
BYM
4 - 2
MSV
89%
8%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
MSV
1 - 2
MON
16%
24%
61%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
OFC
2 - 0
MSV
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1973 |
MSV
0 - 0
HSV
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |