Rot-Weiss Essen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
71.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
PRE
1 - 1
ROT
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
GRE
1 - 4
ROT
33%
23%
45%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 0
BNE
71%
18%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
SAA
0 - 3
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
2 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 2
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
BYM
1 - 0
LEV
44%
24%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 0
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
STU
1 - 4
LEV
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |