Rot-Weiss Essen vs Arminia Hannover analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LEV
4 - 0
ROT
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
WHE
2 - 2
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
WAB
1 - 0
ROT
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ROT
7 - 2
WAT
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Hannover
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
AHA
3 - 1
USO
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
DSC
5 - 2
AHA
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
AHA
3 - 2
VIK
84%
12%
4%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
MON
6 - 1
AHA
91%
7%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
STP
4 - 1
AHA
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |