Rot-Weiss Essen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 3
KÖL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
AAA
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
SPE
1 - 2
ROT
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
ROT
3 - 2
WHE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 21 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FCU
0 - 4
SGF
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
FSV
1 - 1
FCU
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCU
4 - 2
COT
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
RTV
3 - 0
FCU
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |