Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Zwickau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
HAL
1 - 1
ERF
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
FCU
0 - 2
ERF
28%
22%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 2
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
ABS
1 - 3
ERF
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 1
SED
68%
17%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ZWI
0 - 1
SED
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
HAL
0 - 0
ZWI
65%
18%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
LAS
0 - 0
ZWI
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
ZWI
4 - 0
BSA
65%
17%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1951 |
FCU
3 - 2
ZWI
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |