Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Fortuna Chemnitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 4
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
ROT
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 0
VFL
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 3
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 1
ZWI
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BUD
2 - 2
FCH
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FCH
2 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
43%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCH
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
FCH
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |