Oberliga Nordost-Süd round 3

Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis

Rot-Weiß Erfurt II Erzgebirge Aue II
37 ELO 30
-5.4% Tilt 10.6%
26402º General ELO ranking 26399º
1272º Country ELO ranking 1269º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
22.8%
Draw
20.4%
Erzgebirge Aue II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
Erzgebirge Aue II
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
Erzgebirge Aue II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2012
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
1 - 1
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
ROT
27%
22%
51%
37 27 10 0
12 Aug. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
0 - 4
Hallescher FC II
HAL
15%
23%
62%
37 64 27 0
19 May. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
0 - 4
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
38 25 13 -1
13 May. 2012
GRU
Grün-Weiß Piesteritz
2 - 4
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
ROT
10%
17%
73%
38 15 23 0
29 Apr. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
1 - 1
Zwickau
ZWI
34%
27%
39%
38 44 6 0

Matches

Erzgebirge Aue II
Erzgebirge Aue II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2012
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue II
1 - 0
Carl Zeiss Jena II
CAR
33%
25%
42%
30 36 6 0
11 Aug. 2012
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue II
2 - 0
Chemnitzer FC II
CHE
35%
25%
40%
27 35 8 +3
19 May. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
0 - 4
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
25 38 13 +2
14 May. 2012
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue II
2 - 3
Zwickau
ZWI
21%
25%
54%
26 44 18 -1
06 May. 2012
BUD
Budissa Bautzen
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue II
ERZ
56%
24%
21%
27 33 6 -1