2nd Division Temporada Regular round 1

Roskilde vs FA 2000 analysis

Roskilde FA 2000
53 ELO 48
6.5% Tilt 12%
2360º General ELO ranking 4719º
27º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Roskilde
23.3%
Draw
21.9%
FA 2000

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
Roskilde
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
FA 2000
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roskilde
-29%
-22%
FA 2000

Points and table prediction

Roskilde
Their league position
FA 2000
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
17
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Esbjerg
59
59
100%
Roskilde
44
44
100%
Aarhus Fremad
41
41
0%
Middelfart
41
41
0%
Nykøbing FC
33
33
100%
Akademisk Boldklub
24
24
100%
Skive
23
23
0%
Fremad Amager
23
23
0%
Hellerup IK
21
21
100%
Brabrand
10º
18
18
10º
100%
FA 2000
11º
17
17
11º
0%
Thisted
12º
17
17
12º
0%
Expected probabilities
Roskilde
FA 2000
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Roskilde
FA 2000
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roskilde
Roskilde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
FRE
Frem 1886
0 - 2
Roskilde
ROS
20%
20%
60%
52 42 10 0
28 Jul. 2023
KFU
KFUM Roskilde
0 - 0
Roskilde
ROS
8%
15%
78%
52 31 21 0
22 Jul. 2023
ROS
Roskilde
2 - 0
FA 2000
FA2
54%
22%
23%
52 49 3 0
15 Jul. 2023
HBK
HB Køge
0 - 1
Roskilde
ROS
47%
23%
30%
52 55 3 0
17 Jun. 2023
ROS
Roskilde
1 - 0
Hellerup IK
HEL
62%
21%
17%
51 45 6 +1

Matches

FA 2000
FA 2000
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
AKA
Akademisk Boldklub
6 - 3
FA 2000
FA2
50%
23%
27%
49 49 0 0
25 Jul. 2023
FRE
Frem 1886
1 - 2
FA 2000
FA2
31%
24%
46%
49 42 7 0
22 Jul. 2023
ROS
Roskilde
2 - 0
FA 2000
FA2
54%
22%
23%
49 52 3 0
18 Jul. 2023
IIF
Ishøj
2 - 1
FA 2000
FA2
36%
24%
41%
49 44 5 0
15 Jul. 2023
NAE
Næstved
2 - 0
FA 2000
FA2
61%
21%
18%
49 56 7 0