Roma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 1
ROM
62%
24%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 2
LAZ
47%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
TOR
1 - 0
ROM
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 3
FCC
61%
25%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
54%
27%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VIC
2 - 2
TOR
41%
30%
30%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VIC
4 - 1
LAZ
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
NAP
2 - 2
VIC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |