Serie A round 31

Roma vs Inter analysis

Roma Inter
88 ELO 89
19% Tilt 7.9%
30º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.9%
Roma
22.1%
Draw
19.1%
Inter

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
Roma
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.1%
Win probability
Inter
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma
-9%
-1%
Inter

ELO progression

Roma
Inter
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1999
ROM
Roma
1 - 0
Parma
PAR
49%
24%
27%
88 90 2 0
18 Apr. 1999
PRG
Perugia
3 - 2
Roma
ROM
27%
25%
48%
89 77 12 -1
11 Apr. 1999
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
46%
25%
29%
88 91 3 +1
03 Apr. 1999
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 4
Roma
ROM
27%
27%
47%
88 80 8 0
21 Mar. 1999
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
61%
22%
18%
88 91 3 0

Matches

Inter
Inter
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 1999
INT
Inter
1 - 3
Udinese
UDI
60%
21%
19%
89 87 2 0
18 Apr. 1999
INT
Inter
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
75%
16%
9%
89 82 7 0
11 Apr. 1999
SAL
Salernitana
2 - 0
Inter
INT
25%
27%
48%
89 75 14 0
03 Apr. 1999
INT
Inter
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
53%
23%
24%
89 90 1 0
21 Mar. 1999
SAM
Sampdoria
4 - 0
Inter
INT
39%
27%
35%
90 83 7 -1