Serie A Jor. 28

Roma vs Fiorentina analysis

Roma Fiorentina
83 ELO 86
-4.3% Tilt -14.8%
36º General ELO ranking 45º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46%
Roma
23.9%
Draw
30.1%
Fiorentina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
Roma
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.2%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma
+1%
-3%
Fiorentina

ELO progression

Roma
Fiorentina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1964
TOR
Torino
2 - 2
Roma
ROM
41%
26%
32%
83 78 5 0
22 Mar. 1964
ROM
Roma
0 - 1
Bologna
BOL
53%
23%
24%
83 85 2 0
15 Mar. 1964
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
65%
20%
15%
83 88 5 0
08 Mar. 1964
MES
ACR Messina
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
25%
25%
50%
83 66 17 0
05 Mar. 1964
KOL
Köln
4 - 0
Roma
ROM
77%
13%
9%
84 87 3 -1

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 1964
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 1
ACR Messina
MES
76%
16%
9%
86 67 19 0
22 Mar. 1964
MAN
Mantova
0 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
26%
26%
48%
86 74 12 0
15 Mar. 1964
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Genoa
GEN
71%
18%
12%
86 74 12 0
08 Mar. 1964
FIO
Fiorentina
0 - 2
Vicenza
VIC
72%
18%
11%
86 76 10 0
01 Mar. 1964
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
28%
26%
47%
86 76 10 0
X