Roma vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
TOR
4 - 0
ROM
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
MOD
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
ROM
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 2
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 3
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 1
FIO
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FIO
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |