Roma vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
ROM
3 - 2
INT
59%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
VIC
0 - 2
ROM
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 1
ROM
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
ROM
1 - 0
LEC
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
ROM
0 - 2
LIV
57%
23%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 1
LAZ
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 2
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
PAR
3 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
UDI
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
BAR
1 - 3
BRE
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |