Europa League 1/32
Global 2-0
Roma vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
GEN
3 - 0
ROM
24%
28%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
USF
1 - 3
ROM
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ROM
4 - 0
FIO
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
ROM
1 - 0
USF
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
SAL
0 - 3
SLB
16%
28%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
SLB
2 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
VIT
0 - 2
SLB
25%
29%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1990 |
SLB
3 - 0
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1990 |
ACM
1 - 0
SLB
60%
24%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |