Roma vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CAT
0 - 0
ROM
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ROM
2 - 1
MAN
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 1
VIC
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
ROM
5 - 0
NAP
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
16%
23%
62%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPA
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |