Serie AB Sub 18 round 4

Roma U18 vs Fiorentina U18 analysis

Roma U18 Fiorentina U18
34 ELO 26
13.1% Tilt 1.1%
8337º General ELO ranking 10089º
284º Country ELO ranking 343º
ELO win probability
69.4%
Roma U18
16.6%
Draw
14%
Fiorentina U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
Roma U18
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14%
Win probability
Fiorentina U18
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma U18
-23%
-38%
Fiorentina U18

Points and table prediction

Roma U18
Their league position
Fiorentina U18
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
17º
7
15º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter U18
18
70
28%
Torino U18
25
68
25%
Cesena U18
27
67
21%
Genoa U18
21
64
17%
Roma U18
20
61
14%
Atalanta U18
15
53
14%
Parma U18
18
53
14.5%
Lazio U18
11º
14
49
10%
 Bologna U18
12º
13
44
8.5%
Lecce U18
10º
14
43
10º
9.5%
Empoli U18
17
43
11º
9%
Cagliari U18
13º
10
41
12º
9%
AC Monza U18
14º
9
41
13º
11.5%
Sassuolo U18
15
41
14º
10%
Fiorentina U18
16º
7
35
15º
10.5%
Hellas Verona U18
15º
9
28
16º
21%
Sampdoria U18
17º
7
27
17º
22%
Milan U18
18º
3
22
18º
45%
Expected probabilities
Roma U18
Fiorentina U18
100% 100%

ELO progression

Roma U18
Fiorentina U18
Empoli U18
Sampdoria U18
AC Monza U18
Cesena U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma U18
Roma U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2024
MIL
Milan U18
1 - 2
Roma U18
ASR
27%
23%
50%
32 27 5 0
15 Sep. 2024
ASR
Roma U18
3 - 2
Torino U18
TOR
71%
16%
13%
32 24 8 0
26 May. 2024
ATA
Atalanta U18
0 - 1
Roma U18
ASR
55%
21%
24%
31 33 2 +1
19 May. 2024
ASR
Roma U18
1 - 3
 Bologna U18
BOL
54%
19%
27%
32 30 2 -1
13 May. 2024
EMP
Empoli U18
1 - 0
Roma U18
ASR
32%
22%
46%
33 27 6 -1

Matches

Fiorentina U18
Fiorentina U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U18
4 - 4
Inter U18
INT
12%
17%
71%
25 43 18 0
15 Sep. 2024
EMP
Empoli U18
3 - 0
Fiorentina U18
FIO
52%
21%
27%
26 29 3 -1
19 May. 2024
SAM
Sampdoria U18
3 - 3
Fiorentina U18
FIO
26%
23%
51%
27 18 9 -1
13 May. 2024
FIO
Fiorentina U18
3 - 1
Sassuolo U18
SAS
47%
24%
29%
25 25 0 +2
05 May. 2024
INT
Inter U18
0 - 0
Fiorentina U18
FIO
85%
10%
5%
25 42 17 0