Rochester New York vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
PNN
1 - 3
ROC
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
ROC
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
BIN
74%
19%
8%
|
53 | 8 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
ROC
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
LOU
22%
24%
53%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 1
LOU
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
IND
0 - 2
LOU
34%
23%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
LOU
3 - 3
LOU
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
LAS
0 - 1
LOU
10%
17%
72%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |