La Roche VF vs Stade Briochin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
15º
10º
5
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
3 | 65 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 56 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 48 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 44 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 41 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 37 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 37 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 31 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 20 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roche VF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
LRO
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LRO
1 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
LRO
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 1
LRO
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LRO
5 - 1
TRE
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Briochin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
STA
24%
26%
49%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
SAI
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STP
2 - 0
STA
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
STA
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
VOL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |