League Two round 19

Rochdale vs York City analysis

Rochdale York City
52 ELO 57
8.2% Tilt 4.1%
3778º General ELO ranking 3842º
122º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
43.6%
Rochdale
25.8%
Draw
30.7%
York City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
Rochdale
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
York City
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rochdale
+17%
+44%
York City

ELO progression

Rochdale
York City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2012
SOU
Southend United
3 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
56%
25%
20%
53 60 7 0
17 Nov. 2012
ROC
Rochdale
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
57%
23%
20%
53 49 4 0
13 Nov. 2012
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 1
Morecambe
MOR
51%
23%
26%
54 53 1 -1
10 Nov. 2012
WYC
Wycombe Wanderers
1 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
46%
25%
30%
53 50 3 +1
06 Nov. 2012
POR
Port Vale
2 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
63%
21%
15%
53 60 7 0

Matches

York City
York City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Nov. 2012
YOR
York City
0 - 2
Torquay United
GUL
50%
26%
24%
57 55 2 0
17 Nov. 2012
POR
Port Vale
2 - 2
York City
YOR
54%
24%
21%
57 60 3 0
12 Nov. 2012
AFC
AFC Wimbledon
4 - 3
York City
YOR
35%
25%
40%
58 49 9 -1
10 Nov. 2012
YOR
York City
0 - 3
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
62%
22%
16%
59 47 12 -1
06 Nov. 2012
YOR
York City
1 - 1
Northampton
NOR
58%
24%
19%
60 53 7 -1