Rochdale vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
2 - 1
ROC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 2
ROC
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 2
ROC
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 1
OXF
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
OXF
4 - 1
SCU
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 3
OXF
32%
24%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
GIL
0 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
OXF
0 - 0
WAL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |