Roccella vs Locri 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROC
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
TUR
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
ROC
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Locri 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOC
4 - 1
POR
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 1
LOC
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
ROC
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |