RM Castilla vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
DEP
2 - 4
RMC
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
SSR
0 - 2
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
0 - 3
PPJ
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2001 |
FUE
0 - 1
RMC
29%
26%
45%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 1
ZAM
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CDM
5 - 1
DEP
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 1
CDM
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CDM
0 - 0
SSR
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
PPJ
1 - 1
CDM
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |