RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
RMC
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 0
CDT
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 3
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 0
SSR
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 0
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
MON
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
COX
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GET
0 - 1
LUG
23%
26%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
UBC
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |