Rivers United vs El Kanemi Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
14º
2º
22
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 34 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 33 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 30 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 28 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 28 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
7º
|
5.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 25 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 25 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 25 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 25 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 23 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 22 |
18º
|
13.5% | |
|
20º
|
12 | 22 |
19º
|
14% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 20 |
20º
|
23.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
42% | 22% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
30.5% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rivers United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 1
RIV
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
SHO
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KAT
0 - 0
RIV
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
AKW
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
ENY
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El Kanemi Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ELK
1 - 1
KWA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ELK
1 - 0
ENY
39%
30%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LOB
2 - 2
ELK
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ELK
0 - 0
HEA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
ELK
50%
27%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |