River Plate Montevideo vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DAN
3 - 1
RIV
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 5
RIV
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCH
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UCH
8 - 1
OHI
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 1
UCH
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 1
HUA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
UCH
1 - 1
COL
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |