River Plate Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
15º
13º
19
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 15 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 2
JUN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 3
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
RIV
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
RAC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 2
BOS
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 1
RAC
35%
27%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEP
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |