River Plate Montevideo vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
1 - 1
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DAN
0 - 0
RIV
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
BVS
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FEN
1 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 1
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 3
CEL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
RAC
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 0
ETS
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
RAC
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |