River Plate Montevideo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
3 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PLA
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
CER
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
37%
28%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
DAN
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BOS
1 - 1
PRO
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
RAC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |