Club River Plate vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
RPA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
LQE
3 - 1
RPA
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
RPA
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RPA
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
4 - 1
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
2 - 0
GEN
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 2
LIB
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CCP
5 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |