Capixaba Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Rio Branco ES vs Porto Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
RIO
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
NVE
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
RIO
71%
19%
9%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NVE
1 - 2
RIO
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
RIO
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
POR
3 - 2
JAG
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 2
POR
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
POR
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SER
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |