Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-2
Rio Branco ES vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIO
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAL
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
RIO
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
APA
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIO
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
CAL
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
APA
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
27%
30%
44%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |