Rio Branco-VN vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco-VN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 0
UBE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
RVV
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
RVV
3 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 1
RVV
38%
27%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
FER
18%
26%
56%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 6
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -3 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 0
AGU
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
UBE
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAL
6 - 2
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |