Rio Ave vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
MAI
2 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RIO
2 - 1
FEL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
POR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
FAT
0 - 1
BEL
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1993 |
SCP
3 - 2
FAT
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |