Rio Ave vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
3 - 0
RIO
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 2
OLH
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
4 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 0
SLB
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |