HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
2º
41
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IST
0 - 2
RIJ
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HKS
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
RIJ
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 3
RIJ
7%
19%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
RIJ
16%
24%
61%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 2
DZG
24%
26%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNG
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 4
HNG
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
HKS
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |