FK RFS vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
6º
1º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 2
RIG
14%
22%
64%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RIG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
AUD
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
FSM
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |