USL Championship round 3

Richmond Kickers vs Wilmington Hammerheads analysis

Richmond Kickers Wilmington Hammerheads
58 ELO 49
5.1% Tilt 1.2%
3541º General ELO ranking 19478º
56º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Richmond Kickers
21%
Draw
17.2%
Wilmington Hammerheads

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
Richmond Kickers
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.2%
Win probability
Wilmington Hammerheads
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Richmond Kickers
Wilmington Hammerheads
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 1
Louisville City
LOU
41%
27%
32%
57 60 3 0
22 Mar. 2015
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
2 - 2
Richmond Kickers
RIC
31%
26%
42%
56 49 7 +1
21 Sep. 2014
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 3
Penn FC
PNN
62%
21%
17%
57 50 7 -1
14 Sep. 2014
RIC
Richmond Kickers
2 - 1
Charleston Battery
CHA
59%
23%
18%
59 54 5 -2
07 Sep. 2014
ORL
Orlando City
1 - 0
Richmond Kickers
RIC
60%
22%
18%
60 64 4 -1

Matches

Wilmington Hammerheads
Wilmington Hammerheads
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2015
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
1 - 1
Charlotte Independence
CHA
40%
26%
34%
49 54 5 0
22 Mar. 2015
WIL
Wilmington Hammerheads
2 - 2
Richmond Kickers
RIC
31%
26%
42%
49 56 7 0
14 Sep. 2014
SAC
Sacramento Republic
4 - 1
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
57%
22%
20%
50 55 5 -1
07 Sep. 2014
ROC
Rochester New York
2 - 0
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
36%
27%
37%
51 50 1 -1
06 Sep. 2014
DAY
Dayton Dutch Lions
0 - 4
Wilmington Hammerheads
WIL
29%
24%
47%
51 42 9 0