Richmond Kickers vs Charlottesville Alliance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
NYO
1 - 1
RIC
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
RIC
24%
24%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 0
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 0
TOR
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
RIC
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Charlottesville Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
RSC
1 - 2
ARO
11%
17%
72%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |