Rezekne vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+100%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
14º
14º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
90% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 21 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 0
SKA
23%
23%
53%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
RFA
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RFA
1 - 2
RIG
18%
23%
59%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -3 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
3 - 0
FSL
82%
12%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
SKA
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUP
5 - 0
RIG
29%
24%
46%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +3 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
SUP
15%
20%
66%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |