Reutlingen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reutlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
REU
3 - 1
ERF
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1991 |
REU
4 - 1
KKA
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 13 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
REU
3 - 6
KSC
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
ROT
3 - 1
REU
88%
9%
4%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1988 |
REU
1 - 1
ROT
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
LEV
4 - 0
SGD
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
S04
0 - 0
LEV
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
LEV
1 - 1
F95
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1991 |
LEV
2 - 0
KOL
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1991 |
ROS
2 - 2
LEV
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |