Resende vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
CAX
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
RES
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
RES
2 - 1
MAC
39%
25%
37%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 3
RES
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
AUD
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
HUA
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |